Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980: A pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants
In: THE LANCET, 2016, Heft 10027, S. 1513-1530
Online
academicJournal
Zugriff:
Background: One of the global targets for non-communicable diseases is to halt, by 2025, the rise in the age standardised adult prevalence of diabetes at its 2010 levels. We aimed to estimate worldwide trends in diabetes, how likely it is for countries to achieve the global target, and how changes in prevalence, together with population growth and ageing, are aff ecting the number of adults with diabetes. Methods: We pooled data from population-based studies that had collected data on diabetes through measurement of its biomarkers. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in diabetes prevalence-defined as fasting plasma glucose of 7.0 mmol/L or higher, or history of diagnosis with diabetes, or use of insulin or oral hypoglycaemic drugs-in 200 countries and territories in 21 regions, by sex and from 1980 to 2014. We also calculated the posterior probability of meeting the global diabetes target if post-2000 trends continue. Findings: We used data from 751 studies including 4372000 adults from 146 of the 200 countries we make estimates for. Global age-standardised diabetes prevalence increased from 4.3% (95% credible interval 2.4-17.0) in 1980 to 9.0% (7.2-11.1) in 2014 in men, and from 5.0% (2.9-7.9) to 7.9% (6.4-9.7) in women. The number of adults with diabetes in the world increased from 108 million in 1980 to 422 million in 2014 (28.5% due to the rise in prevalence, 39.7% due to population growth and ageing, and 31.8% due to interaction of these two factors). Age-standardised adult diabetes prevalence in 2014 was lowest in northwestern Europe, and highest in Polynesia and Micronesia, at nearly 25%, followed by Melanesia and the Middle East and north Africa. Between 1980 and 2014 there was little change in age-standardised diabetes prevalence in adult women in continental western Europe, although crude prevalence rose because of ageing of the population. By contrast, age-standardised adult prevalence rose by 15 percentage points in men and women in Polynesia and Micronesia. In 2014, American ...
| Titel: |
Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980: A pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants
|
|---|---|
| Autor/in / Beteiligte Person: | Zhou, Bin ; Lu, Yuan ; Hajifathalian, Kaveh ; Bentham, James ; Di Cesare, Mariachiara ; Danaei, Goodarz ; Bixby, Honor ; Cowan, Melanie J. ; Ali, Mohammed K. ; Taddei, Cristina ; Lo, Wei Cheng ; Reis Santos, Barbara ; Stevens, Gretchen A. ; Riley, Leanne M. ; Miranda, J. Jaime ; Bjerregaard, Peter ; Rivera, Juan A. ; Fouad, Heba M. ; Ma, Guansheng ; Mbanya, Jean Claude N. ; Mcgarvey, Stephen T. ; Mohan, Viswanathan ; Onat, Altan ; Pilav, Aida ; Ramachandran, Ambady ; Ben Romdhane, Habiba ; Paciorek, Christopher J. ; Bennett, James E. ; Ezzati, Majid ; Abdeen, Ziad A. ; Kadir, Khalid Abdul ; Abu Rmeileh, Niveen M. ; Acosta Cazares, Benjamin ; Adams, Robert ; Aekplakorn, Wichai ; Aguilar Salinas, Carlos A. ; Agyemang, Charles ; Ahmadvand, Alireza ; Al Othman, Amani Rashed ; Alkerwi, Ala'A ; Amouyel, Philippe ; Amuzu, Antoinette ; Bo Andersen, Lars ; Anderssen, Sigmund A. ; Anjana, Ranjit Mohan ; Aounallah Skhiri, Hajer ; Aris, Tahir ; Arlappa, Nimmathota ; Arveiler, Dominique ; Assah, Felix K. ; Avdicová, Mária ; Azizi, Fereidoun ; Balakrishna, Nagalla ; Bandosz, Piotr ; Barbagallo, Carlo M. ; Barceló, Alberto ; Batieha, Anwar M. ; Baur, Louise A. ; Benet, Mikhail ; Bernabe Ortiz, Antonio ; Bharadwaj, Sumit ; Bhargava, Santosh K. ; Bi, Yufang ; Bjertness, Espen ; Bjertness, Marius B. ; Björkelund, Cecilia ; Blokstra, Anneke ; Bo, Simona ; Boehm, Bernhard O. ; Boissonnet, Carlos P. ; Bovet, Pascal ; Brajkovich, Imperia ; Breckenkamp, Juergen ; Brenner, Hermann ; Brewster, Lizzy M. ; Brian, Garry R. ; Bruno, Graziella ; Bugge, Anna ; De León, Antonio Cabrera ; Can, Günay ; Cåndido, Ana Paula C. ; Capuano, Vincenzo ; Carlsson, Axel C. ; Carvalho, Maria J. ; Casanueva, Felipe F. ; Casas, Juan Pablo ; Caserta, Carmelo A. ; Castetbon, Katia ; Chamukuttan, Snehalatha ; Chaturvedi, Nishi ; Chen, Chien Jen ; Chen, Fangfang ; Chen, Shuohua ; Cheng, Ching Yu ; Chetrit, Angela ; Chiou, Shu Ti ; Cho, Yumi ; Chudek, Jerzy ; Cifkova, Renata ; Claessens, Frank ; Concin, Hans ; Cooper, Cyrus ; Cooper, Rachel ; Costanzo, Simona ; Cottel, Dominique ; Cowell, Chris ; Crujeiras, Ana B. ; D'Arrigo, Graziella ; Dallongeville, Jean ; Dankner, Rachel ; Dauchet, Luc ; DE GAETANO, GIOVANNI ; De Henauw, Stefaan ; Deepa, Mohan ; Dehghan, Abbas ; Deschamps, Valerie ; Dhana, Klodian ; Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F. ; Djalalinia, Shirin ; Doua, Kouamelan ; Drygas, Wojciech ; Du, Yong ; Dzerve, Vilnis ; Egbagbe, Eruke E. ; Eggertsen, Robert ; El Ati, Jalila ; Elosua, Roberto ; Erasmus, Rajiv T. ; Erem, Cihangir ; Ergor, Gul ; Eriksen, Louise ; Escobedo De La Peña, Jorge ; Fall, Caroline H. ; Farzadfar, Farshad ; Felix Redondo, Francisco J. ; Ferguson, Trevor S. ; Fernández Bergés, Daniel ; Ferrari, Marika ; Ferreccio, Catterina ; Feskens, Edith J. M. ; Finn, Joseph D. ; Föger, Bernhard ; Foo, Leng Huat ; Forslund, Ann Sofie ; Francis, Damian K. ; Do Carmo Franco, Maria ; Franco, Oscar H. ; Frontera, Guillermo ; Furusawa, Takuro ; Gaciong, Zbigniew ; Garnett, Sarah P. ; Gaspoz, Jean Michel ; Gasull, Magda ; Gates, Louise ; Geleijnse, Johanna M. ; Ghasemian, Anoosheh ; Ghimire, Anup ; Giampaoli, Simona ; Gianfagna, Francesco ; Giovannelli, Jonathan ; Giwercman, Aleksander ; Gross, Marcela Gonzalez ; Rivas, Juan P. González ; Gorbea, Mariano Bonet ; Gottrand, Frederic ; Grafnetter, Dušan ; Grodzicki, Tomasz ; Grøntved, Anders ; Gruden, Grabriella ; Gu, Dongfeng ; Guan, Ong Peng ; Guerrero, Ramiro ; Guessous, Idris ; Guimaraes, Andre L. ; Gutierrez, Laura ; Hambleton, Ian R. ; Hardy, Rebecca ; Kumar, Rachakulla Hari ; Hata, Jun ; He, Jiang ; Heidemann, Christin ; Herrala, Sauli ; Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani ; Ho, Sai Yin ; Ho, Suzanne C. ; Hofman, Albert ; Hormiga, Claudia M. ; Horta, Bernardo L. ; Houti, Leila ; Howitt, Christina ; Htay, Thein Thein ; Htet, Aung Soe ; Htike, Maung Maung Than ; Hu, Yang ; Hussieni, Abdullatif S. ; Huybrechts, Inge ; Hwalla, Nahla ; Iacoviello, Licia ; Iannone, Anna G. ; Ibrahim, M. Mohsen ; Ikeda, Nayu ; Ikram, M. Arfan ; Irazola, Vilma E. ; Islam, Muhammad ; Iwasaki, Masanori ; Jacobs, Jeremy M. ; Jafar, Tazeen ; Jamil, Kazi M. ; Jasienska, Grazyna ; Jiang, Chao Qiang ; Jonas, Jost B. ; Joshi, Pradeep ; Kafatos, Anthony ; Kalter Leibovici, Ofra ; Kasaeian, Amir ; Katz, Joanne ; Kaur, Prabhdeep ; Kavousi, Maryam ; Keinänen Kiukaanniemi, Sirkka ; Kelishadi, Roya ; Kengne, Andre P. ; Kersting, Mathilde ; Khader, Yousef Saleh ; Khalili, Davood ; Khang, Young Ho ; Kiechl, Stefan ; Kim, Jeongseon ; Kolsteren, Patrick ; Korrovits, Paul ; Kratzer, Wolfgang ; Kromhout, Daan ; Kujala, Urho M. ; Kula, Krzysztof ; Kyobutungi, Catherine ; Laatikainen, Tiina ; Lachat, Carl ; Laid, Youcef ; Lam, Tai Hing ; Landrove, Orlando ; Lanska, Vera ; Lappas, Georg ; Laxmaiah, Avula ; Leclercq, Catherine ; Lee, Jeannette ; Lee, Jeonghee ; Lehtimäki, Terho ; Lekhraj, Rampal ; León Muñoz, Luz M. ; Li, Yanping ; Lim, Wei Yen ; Lima Costa, M. Fernanda ; Lin, Hsien Ho ; Lin, Xu ; Lissner, Lauren ; Lorbeer, Roberto ; Lozano, José Eugenio ; Luksiene, Dalia ; Lundqvist, Annamari ; Lytsy, Per ; Machado Coelho, George L. L. ; Machi, Suka ; Maggi, Stefania ; Magliano, Dianna J. ; Makdisse, Marcia ; Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna ; Manios, Yannis ; Manzato, Enzo ; Margozzini, Paula ; Marques Vidal, Pedro ; Martorell, Reynaldo ; Masoodi, Shariq R. ; Mathiesen, Ellisiv B. ; Matsha, Tandi E. ; Mcfarlane, Shelly R. ; Mclachlan, Stela ; Mcnulty, Breige A. ; Mediene Benchekor, Sounnia ; Meirhaeghe, Aline ; Menezes, Ana Maria B. ; Merat, Shahin ; Meshram, Indrapal I. ; Mi, Jie ; Miquel, Juan Francisco ; Mohamed, Mostafa K. ; Mohammad, Kazem ; Mohammadifard, Noushin ; Mohd Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli ; Møller, Niels C. ; Molnár, Dénes ; Mondo, Charles K. ; Morejon, Alain ; Moreno, Luis A. ; Morgan, Karen ; Moschonis, George ; Mossakowska, Malgorzata ; Mostafa, Aya ; Mota, Jorge ; Motta, Jorge ; Mu, Thet Thet ; Muiesan, Maria Lorenza ; Müller Nurasyid, Martina ; Mursu, Jaakko ; Nagel, Gabriele ; Námešná, Jana ; Nang, Ei Ei K. ; Nangia, Vinay B. ; Navarrete Muñoz, Eva Maria ; Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba ; Nenko, Ilona ; Nervi, Flavio ; Nguyen, Nguyen D. ; Nguyen, Quang Ngoc ; Nieto Martínez, Ramfis E. ; Ning, Guang ; Ninomiya, Toshiharu ; Noale, Marianna ; Noto, Davide ; Al Nsour, Mohannad ; Ochoa Avilés, Angélica M. ; Oh, Kyungwon ; Ordunez, Pedro ; Osmond, Clive ; Otero, Johanna A. ; Owusu Dabo, Ellis ; Pahomova, Elena ; PALMIERI, Luigi ; Panda Jonas, Songhomitra ; PANZA, FRANCESCO ; Parsaeian, Mahboubeh ; Peixoto, Sergio Viana ; Peltonen, Markku ; Peters, Annette ; Peykari, Niloofar ; Pham, Son Thai ; Pitakaka, Freda ; Piwonska, Aleksandra ; Piwonski, Jerzy ; Plans Rubió, Pedro ; Porta, Miquel ; Portegies, Marileen L. P. ; Poustchi, Hossein ; Pradeepa, Rajendra ; Price, Jacqueline F. ; Punab, Margus ; Qasrawi, Radwan F. ; Qorbani, Mostafa ; Radisauskas, Ricardas ; Rahman, Mahmudur ; Raitakari, Olli ; Rao, Sudha Ramachandra ; Ramke, Jacqueline ; Ramos, Rafel ; Rampal, Sanjay ; Rathmann, Wolfgang ; Redon, Josep ; Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M. ; Rigo, Fernando ; Robinson, Sian M. ; Robitaille, Cynthia ; Rodríguez Artalejo, Fernando ; Del CristoRodriguez Perez, María ; Rodríguez Villamizar, Laura A. ; Rojas Martinez, Rosalba ; Ronkainen, Kimmo ; Rosengren, Annika ; Rubinstein, Adolfo ; Rui, Ornelas ; Ruiz Betancourt, Blanca Sandra ; Horimoto, Andrea R. V. Russo ; Rutkowski, Marcin ; Sabanayagam, Charumathi ; Sachdev, Harshpal S. ; Saidi, Olfa ; Sakarya, Sibel ; Salanave, Benoit ; Salonen, Jukka T. ; Salvetti, Massimo ; Sánchez Abanto, Jose ; Santos, Diana ; Dos Santos, Renata Nunes ; Santos, Rute ; Saramies, Jouko L. ; Sardinha, Luis B. ; Sarrafzadegan, Nizal ; Saum, Kai Uwe ; Scazufca, Marcia ; Schargrodsky, Herman ; Scheidt Nave, Christa ; Sein, Aye Aye ; Sharma, Sanjb K. ; Shaw, Jonathan E. ; Shibuya, Kenji ; Shin, Youchan ; Shiri, Rahman ; Siantar, Rosalynn ; Sibai, Abla M. ; Simon, Mary ; Simons, Judith ; Simons, Leon A. ; Sjostrom, Michael ; Slowikowska Hilczer, Jolanta ; Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw ; Smeeth, Liam ; Snijder, Marieke B. ; So, Hung Kwan ; Sobngwi, Eugène ; Söderberg, Stefan ; SOLFRIZZI, Vincenzo ; Sonestedt, Emily ; Soumare, Aicha ; Staessen, Jan A. ; Stathopoulou, Maria G. ; Steene Johannessen, Jostein ; Stehle, Peter ; Stein, Aryeh D. ; Stessman, Jochanan ; Stöckl, Doris ; Stokwiszewski, Jakub ; Stronks, Karien ; Strufaldi, Maria Wany ; Sun, Chien An ; Sundström, Johan ; Sung, Yn Tz ; Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul ; Sy, Rody G. ; Tai, E. Shyong ; Tamosiunas, Abdonas ; Tang, Line ; Tarawneh, Mohammed ; Tarqui Mamani, Carolina B ; Taylor, Anne ; Theobald, Holger ; Thijs, Lutgarde ; Thuesen, Betina H. ; Tolonen, Hanna K. ; Tolstrup, Janne S. ; Topbas, Murat ; Torrent, Maties ; Traissac, Pierre ; Trinh, Oanh T. H. ; Tulloch Reid, Marshall K. ; Tuomainen, Tomi Pekka ; Turley, Maria L. ; Tzourio, Christophe ; Ueda, Peter ; Ukoli, Flora A. M. ; Ulmer, Hanno ; Uusitalo, Hannu M. T. ; Valdivia, Gonzalo ; Valvi, Damaskini ; Van Rossem, Lenie ; Van Valkengoed, Irene G. M. ; Vanderschueren, Dirk ; Vanuzzo, Diego ; Vega, Tomas ; Velasquez Melendez, Gustavo ; Veronesi, Giovanni ; Verschuren, W. M. Monique ; Verstraeten, Roosmarijn ; Viet, Lucie ; Vioque, Jesus ; Virtanen, Jyrki K. ; Visvikis Siest, Sophie ; Viswanathan, Bharathi ; Vollenweider, Peter ; Voutilainen, Sari ; Vrijheid, Martine ; Wade, Alisha N. ; Wagner, Aline ; Walton, Janette ; Wan Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon ; Wang, Feng ; Wang, Ming Dong ; Wang, Qian ; Wang, Ya Xing ; Wannamethee, S. Goya ; Weerasekera, Deepa ; Whincup, Peter H. ; Widhalm, Kurt ; Wiecek, Andrzej ; Wijga, Alet H. ; Wilks, Rainford J. ; Willeit, Johann ; Wilsgaard, Tom ; Wojtyniak, Bogdan ; Wong, Tien Yin ; Woo, Jean ; Woodward, Mark ; Wu, Frederick C. ; Wu, Shou Ling ; Xu, Haiquan ; Yan, Weili ; Yang, Xiaoguang ; Ye, Xingwang ; Yoshihara, Akihiro ; Younger Coleman, Novie O. ; Zambon, Sabina ; Zargar, Abdul Hamid ; Zdrojewski, Tomasz ; Zhao, Wenhua ; Zheng, Yingfeng ; Cisneros, Julio Zuñiga ; Bentham, Jame ; Agyemang, Charle ; Bo Andersen, Lar |
| Link: | |
| Zeitschrift: | THE LANCET, 2016, Heft 10027, S. 1513-1530 |
| Veröffentlichung: | 2016 |
| Medientyp: | academicJournal |
| DOI: | 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)00618-8 |
| Schlagwort: |
|
| Sonstiges: |
|